SpoilerWell we are again very weak in attack, but not having Tevez helps a lot, so I feel a strong defense is again the best chance of taking us far, plus we don't have a good left-back (Evra is terrible, teams our score on us in his side of the pitch, he is too old), so I would go with a 3-4-1-2. This is how I play in PES atm:

buffon
rugani* - bonucci - chiellini
lichtsteiner - pereyra - marchisio - sturaro
dybala
llorente** - zaza

*Barzagli is getting older so I feel it's time to have something young starting to learn here.
**Llorente is probably not going to play in real life sadly, so I'd use Mandzukic if necessary here, never Morata.

We still need a TOP and YOUNG striker, if italian ever better since we only have Zaza now and it's important to the team's identity, like Berardi, or even Ciro Immobile would be ideal but that train has left for good now I think. Italy overall lacks good strikers at the moment, it's the biggest problems of the NT.